Demand Forecaster

Hello. We’re Haleon. A new world-leading consumer health company. Shaped by all who join us. Together, we’re improving everyday health for billions of people. By growing and innovating our global portfolio of category-leading brands – including Sensodyne, Panadol, Advil, Voltaren, Theraflu, Otrivin, and Centrum – through a unique combination of deep human understanding and trusted science. What’s more, we’re achieving it in a company that we’re in control of. In an environment that we’re co-creating. And a culture that’s uniquely ours.

Care to join us. It isn’t a question.

With category leading brands such as Sensodyne, Voltaren and Centrum, built on trusted science and human understanding, and combined with our passion, knowledge and expertise, we’re uniquely placed to do this and to grow a strong, successful business.

This is an exciting time to join us and help shape the future. It’s an opportunity to be part of something special.

About the role

Demand Forecaster is responsible for running the statistical forecasting processes; following up all forecast preparation activities to guarantee, monthly, the most appropriate baseline forecast for all Stock Keeping Units (SKUs).

Demand Forecaster leverage analytics (market trends, historical data and consumer behavior pattern) to predict consumer demand. Using statistical models and market knowledge, the Demand Forecaster will generate accurate forecasts to guide supply chain planning and sales strategies. Insights will directly impact production planning, inventory management, and overall supply chain efficiency.

Key responsibilities

• Utilize statistical modeling, data analysis, and collaborative input to generate accurate short-term and long-term demand forecasts for multiple product lines. Run data-driven sell-out and sell-in forecasts and review the outputs.

• Monitor and analyse demand drivers such as seasonality, consumer trends, economic factors, and market dynamics. Provide insight to the data science hub to refine forecasting models and strategies as required.

• Oversee and coordinate all activities related to focus on statistical forecast preparation and hand over an (adjusted) baseline to the local Demand Planer preparation.

• Clean sales history through automatic and manual outlier in cooperation with the local Demand Planner considering the impact from market activities  Market activities including pricing competition, promotion, competitors’ activities, pre-seasonal stock loading (not actual consumption), etc.

• Maintain close communication with Local in-Market demand planners to adjust baseline forecast in line with market trends.

• Maintain a detailed knowledge of all components of the Demand Forecast, statistical baseline, promotion and repacking uplifts, and cannibalization effects.

• Identify opportunity and manage switch between statistical forecasting methods and driver-based forecasting models.

• Define, develop and test potential new (global) driver for AI/ML supported forecasting models in cooperation with data science hub and Demand Planer.

• Manage product segmentation to ensure SKUs are grouped to optimise model performance and accuracy, as well as to enable consistent planning.

• Prepare and conduct SKU Analysis, and recommend SKUs requiring enrichment compared to no touch forecasts (baseline forecast only)

• Prepare root/cause analysis reports identifying and proposing the required conclusions and corrective actions.

• Collaborate with Continuous Improvement Team to identify the gap on current process and methodologies for continuous improvement, enhance forecast accuracy and efficiency.

• Track Forecast Value Accuracy KPI and ensure adherence to process where local enrichments are reducing Forecast accuracy.

• Metrics: Forecast Accuracy, BIAS, FASTAT vs FAENRICH

Qualifications and skills

Essential

• Bachelor’s degree in supply chain management, statistics, economics, or a related field.

• Proven experience (3 years +) in demand planning within the FMCG industry or a related field, preferably in a multinational environment.

• Proficiency in statistical analysis and forecasting techniques, familiarity with statistical tools such as SAP, Oracle, O9, PowerBI, etc.

• Strong analytical skills with the ability to translate data into actionable insights.

• Ability to communicate complex information clearly and concisely.

• Ability to work under tight deadlines and adapt to changing priorities.

• Fluent in English, both written and spoken. Knowledge in 2nd language will be an advantage

• Digital Literacy

Preferred

• Master’s degree

• Experience in project management

• Digital Acumen and Innovation

• Understanding of end-to-end supply chain processes

• Ability to work independently and build cross-functional partnerships across the organization.

• Excellent communication and collaboration skills to work effectively with cross-functional teams.

Care to join us. Find out what life at Haleon is really like www.haleon.com/careers/
At Haleon we embrace our diverse workforce by creating an inclusive environment that celebrates our unique perspectives, generates curiosity to create unmatched understanding of each other, and promotes fair and equitable outcomes for everyone. We're striving to create a climate where we celebrate our diversity in all forms by treating each other with respect, listening to different viewpoints, supporting our communities, and creating a workplace where your authentic self belongs and thrives. We believe in an agile working culture for all our roles. If flexibility is important to you, we encourage you to explore with our hiring team what the opportunities are.
As you apply, we will ask you to share some personal information, which is entirely voluntary. We want to have an opportunity to consider a diverse pool of qualified candidates and this information will assist us in meeting that objective and in understanding how well we are doing against our inclusion and diversity ambitions. We would really appreciate it if you could take a few moments to complete it. Rest assured, Hiring Managers do not have access to this information and we will treat your information confidentially.
Haleon is an Equal Opportunity Employer. All qualified applicants will receive equal consideration for employment without regard to race, color, national origin, religion, sex, pregnancy, marital status, sexual orientation, gender identity/expression, age, disability, genetic information, military service, covered/protected veteran status or any other federal, state or local protected class.

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